How Competitive is the Stock Market? Theory, Evidence from Portfolios, and Implications for the Rise of Passive Investing (with Valentin Haddad and Paul Huebner) First version: April 2021 This version: April 2024 Download the paper Download the online Appendix
Abstract: The conventional wisdom in finance is that competition is fierce among investors: if a group changes its behavior, others adjust their strategies such that nothing happens to prices. We estimate a demand system with flexible strategic responses for institutional investors in the US stock market. When less aggressive traders surround an investor, she adjusts by trading more aggressively. However, this strategic reaction only counteracts two thirds of the impact of the initial change in behavior. In light of these estimates, the rise in passive investing over the last 20 years has made the demand for individual stocks 11% more inelastic.
Write up in Risk.net How hedge funds can be limited in fixing mispricings (paywall) Write up in UCLA Anderson Review As Passive Investing Spreads, Overall Market Becomes Less Competitive Valentin talks to Steve Johnson at the Financial Times Passive investing has increased US stock volatility, study finds Winner of the Q Group’s annual Jack Treynor Prize (2021) Best Paper on Financial Institutions (Elsevier Sponsored Award; WFA 2022) SSRN link
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